Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.341494 0.404867 0.475601 0.560239 0.658592 0.769106 0.902519
2025-02-09 0.255487 0.339735 0.443836 0.581213 0.756941 0.973320 1.258971
2025-02-16 0.198949 0.288102 0.406832 0.575066 0.805588 1.108395 1.533895
2025-02-23 0.156933 0.244422 0.368576 0.555315 0.826221 1.201483 1.756277
2025-03-02 0.124767 0.207539 0.331892 0.529130 0.830029 1.266629 1.941182
2025-03-09 0.110163 0.194003 0.326301 0.545890 0.895485 1.422939 2.268442
2025-03-16 0.091129 0.169784 0.300042 0.526035 0.901002 1.488382 2.463706
2025-03-23 0.081465 0.159568 0.294547 0.538012 0.956777 1.634450 2.794379
2025-03-30 0.072914 0.149801 0.288167 0.547063 1.007659 1.775974 3.128616
2025-04-06 0.063586 0.136980 0.274456 0.541127 1.031467 1.873862 3.397901
2025-04-13 0.055845 0.125929 0.262341 0.536204 1.055766 1.973529 3.676980
2025-04-20 0.051831 0.121775 0.262677 0.554342 1.123218 2.153019 4.107873
2025-04-27 0.051906 0.126643 0.282012 0.612717 1.274143 2.498278 4.869519
2025-05-04 0.048276 0.122847 0.283376 0.635750 1.360247 2.733985 5.454399
2025-05-11 0.042539 0.113210 0.271085 0.629077 1.386778 2.860327 5.846250
2025-05-18 0.036485 0.101688 0.252983 0.607618 1.380619 2.922868 6.121122
2025-05-25 0.030842 0.090091 0.232950 0.579160 1.356332 2.946898 6.321907
2025-06-01 0.028853 0.087577 0.233662 0.597375 1.433431 3.179842 6.954171
2025-06-08 0.024837 0.078829 0.218095 0.575797 1.420727 3.227420 7.214590
2025-06-15 0.023110 0.076148 0.217153 0.588814 1.486726 3.444068 7.838623
2025-06-22 0.021394 0.073175 0.215036 0.598651 1.546243 3.651334 8.457852
2025-06-29 0.019150 0.068174 0.206855 0.592200 1.566676 3.775084 8.907501
2025-07-06 0.017206 0.063714 0.199475 0.586849 1.589068 3.904640 9.378860